The Mathematical Model of Behavior Probability
行为概率的数学模型

In order to reveal people's selecting probabilities of certain actions under the general expectation of return,the mathematic model of behavior probability is put forward.The inputs of the model are expected returns;the outputs of the model are behavior probabilities.In the case of colonies,the behavior probability can be regarded as the proportion of the doers of the behaviors.The parameters in the model can be calculated out from data in history.The logos rules and the warps in cognizing can be also reflected in the parameters.The model will be helpful in policy making and institution designing,which is meaningful in both of practice and theory.