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系统工程理论与实践 2006
Stock-Price Fluctuation Analyses Based on Fuzzy Probability
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Abstract:
By using rational investors' thoughts and practical experiences as background,the paper utilizes the theory of fuzzy sets and the method of fuzzy probability to simulate their securities analysis processes and study their investment decisions.We construct a fuzzy probability space on the forecast set of stock-price fluctuations,and then,according to investors' different investment preferences,we discuss and analyze the forecasts set of stock-price fluctuations,in detail,by using fuzzy probability.As a result,we obtain some key technical indicators and some decision methods to control risks.The paper's methods and results supply some new thoughts and techniques for securities investors' decision making.
