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Testing for the Nonlinearity of ASEAN-5 Daily Dollar Exchange Rates
东盟五国汇率序列的非线性检验

Keywords: nonlinearity test,surrogate data analysis,exchange rate
非线性检验
,替代数据分析,汇率

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Abstract:

In this study,we focus our attention on testing for nonlinearity of the daily dollar exchange rates data.Specifically,we use a discrete parametric modeling approach to compute an efficient test statistics for nonlinearity of ASEAN-5 daily dollar exchange rates.To validate the test statistics,we use surrogate data testing method.Moreover,for a comparative analysis between the exchange rate series and a well-known chaotic model,we also use artificial data of x-coordinate of Lorenz chaotic model.The empirical results show that there exists nonlinearity in ASEAN-5 daily dollar exchange rates.

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