Scenarios Simulation of Urbanization and Ecological Environment Coupling in Jiangsu Province by System Dynamic Model
基于SD 的江苏省城市化与生态环境耦合发展情景分析

According to the connotation of urbanization and eco environment coupling,the system dynamic model of Jiangsu,s urbanization and eco environment coupling has been designed by means of ISM and SD method.Based on Jiangsu,s serial statistical data from 1990 to 2003,the five scenarios of coupling models during 2000-2015 have been simulated.The results show that: Firstly,there exist significantly differences among the five development models,which show both comparative advantages and drawbacks.Secondly,according to the characteristics and regional disparities of Jiangsu development and the general rule of world urbanization,it is revealed that only when either population urbanization model or society urbanization model to be adopted correspondingly can the sustainable development among population,economy,urbanization and eco environment be realized.