Medium Term Prospects of Economic Growth and Structural Change--A Recursive Dynamic CGE Analysis
中期经济增长和结构变化--递推动态一般均衡分析

This paper projects economic growth and structural change of China in the next 15 years based upon estimations of future population, labour forces growth and industry level technological change. The analysis is conducted by a multi sectoral, recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model for China. The importance of biased technological change is stressed in this paper.