Forecast of Soybean Import in China
中国大豆进口的预测与分析

The abrupt increasing import of soybean has concerns many scholars and policy-makers in China.As the shortage and fluctuation of available data,some common analyzing methods could not be used.Grey system is a very powerful tool to analyze undetermined problems and require small numbers of data to make a prediction. With the dynamic GM(1,1) model embedded knowledge,we predict the soybean import in next five years.Our results indicate that the soybean import would continue to increase in future,but the growth rate will much lower than before.Based on our projection,we propose some comments and advice.