An Empirical Analysis on the Model of RMB Exchange Rate Determination
人民币汇率决定模型的实证分析

The objectives of this paper are twofold. First, it is to find an acceptable model that explains the movement of Renminbi (RMB) nominal spot exchange rate in terms of macroeconomic variables. Second, by using the exchange rate data from January 1994 to March 1998 between RMB and the U.S. dollar, this paper test if the model of RMB exchange rate determination presented in reference \ is a long\|run exchange rate determination model and the hypotheses posited in the model. Results show that macroeconomic variable is a significant factor in influencing the long\|run exchange rate. This is achieved by applying the techniques of cointegration and variance decomposition as well as impulse response analysis.