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系统工程理论与实践 2010
Dynamic Bayesian evaluation method for binomial system with reliability growth
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Abstract:
Considering that there are multiple-stages field data and product performance parameters take on dynamic change trend during the process of product development,a dynamic Bayesian evaluation method for binomial system reliability is proposed in this paper.The approach uses the discrete AMSAA model to describe the change trend of product reliability according to the existent multiple-stages field data, and make prediction for product reliability at new-stage.Then,the prior distribution of product reliability ...