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系统工程理论与实践 2004
The Integrating Model of Expert''''s Opinion Based on Delphi Method
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Abstract:
Based on the discussion of Delphi inquiry method, the paper studied the integration of expert's opinions. The reliability function of expert's opinion was design and the measurement of the reliability of integration result of all expert's opinions could be got. An optimizing search model was set up to get the optimal scheme to correspond the different expert's opinion. It could not only keep the independent of each expert's opinion, but also consider the consistency and correspondent at the same time. The case study proved the model could give a good result and have adaptabilities to a large areas.