Survey of Reliability and Availability Evaluation of Complex System Using Monte Carlo Techniques
基于仿真的复杂系统可靠性、可用性和MTBF评估文献综述

Reliability and availability evaluations of complex system using monte carlo techniques are researched through a great mass of data in this treatise.Generally there are four main difficalties in evaluating complex large-scale system reliability, availability and MTBF:the system structure may be very complex; subsystems may follow various failure distributions; subsystems may conform to arbitrary failure and repair distributions for maintained systems; the failure data of subsystems are sometimes not sufficient, reliability test sample sizes tend to be small. It is difficult and often impossible to obtain confidence limits of them by classical statistics. Combine Monte Carlo technique with Bayes method is to research a subject.