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系统工程理论与实践 1999
A Further Study on the Exponential Smoothing Estimation Method for Parameters of Forecasting Model and Its Application
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Abstract:
First, this paper presents the applicational principle for the parameter estimation of the forecasting model with exponential smoothing technique. Then, it studies the asymptotic optimal property of the exponential smooth parameter extimation. At last, using the exponential smoothing technique, it puts forward a new method to estimate the parameters of revised exponential curve and decide the weights of combinatory forecasting.