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A Further Study on the Exponential Smoothing Estimation Method for Parameters of Forecasting Model and Its Application
预测模型参数的指数平滑估计法及其应用的进一步研究

Keywords: parameter estimation,exponential smoothing,asymptotic optimal property
参数估计
,指数平滑,渐近最优性

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Abstract:

First, this paper presents the applicational principle for the parameter estimation of the forecasting model with exponential smoothing technique. Then, it studies the asymptotic optimal property of the exponential smooth parameter extimation. At last, using the exponential smoothing technique, it puts forward a new method to estimate the parameters of revised exponential curve and decide the weights of combinatory forecasting.

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