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生态学报  2009 

Factors influencing Mikania micrantha invasion and distribution at regional scale
区域尺度薇甘菊入侵分布的影响因子

Keywords: Mikania micrantha,invasion and distribution,land use,regional scale,Autologistic regression model
薇甘菊
,入侵分布,土地利用,区域尺度,Autologistic回归模型

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Abstract:

Modeling the potential distribution of invasive plant species to implement effective prevention strategies is one of the major issues confronting rapidly urbanizing regions. This study focused on Mikania micrantha, the most problematic weed in the study site (Baoan District in Shenzhen, China). Our goal was to determine the key impact factors associated with the weed's presence/absence information through the comparison analysis between the invasive and non-invasive sites as well as the construction of Autologistic regression model. Data analysis was based on the land-use classification map derived from IRS satellite imagery of 2007 and contemporary survey map of Mikania, while topographic data were obtained using DEM in a geographic information system (GIS). The final conclusions are drawn from the research as follows:(1) At the regional scale, most topography and land use characteristics were significantly correlated with Mikania presence, whereas features of the local vegetation community revealed little influence; (2) Autologistic regression modeling demonstrated that the weed distribution was highly correlated with surrounding orchard density and water density, and this model showed a good performance of fitness, therefore, it could be used as a valuable tool for reconstructing the invasion process and assisting decision makers to target the locations at highest risk in the near future.

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