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生态学报  2002 

Simulating the Impact of the Climate Protection Expenditure on China''s Economic Security
气候保护支出对中国经济安全的影响模拟

Keywords: CO\-2 emission,global change,economic security,money\|expenditure on climate protection
气候保护支出
,中国,经济安全,影响,模式,全球变化,CO2排放

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Abstract:

Based on a revised Leimbach model,this paper simulates the trends of China's greenhouse\|gas emission in the future under different reduction levels.First,the paper sets three reduction objectives:the total volume of the emitting CO 2 keeps the same level as that of the 1990s;the total volume of the emitting CO\-2 is greater than that of the 1990s;and the total volume of the emitting CO\-2 declines subsequently.Then,the paper revises the Leimbach money expenditure model and runs it,simulating the impact of the third reduction plan will result in the money expenditure on climate protection increasing thile the degree of Chinese citizen's satisfactory with their living standards will decline.Even though,as the model reveals,there will be no such event as economic crisis on a national level.

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