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Mathematical Model of the Impact of Vaccination on the Transmission Dynamics of Fowl pox in Poultry

DOI: 10.3923/jmmstat.2011.102.105

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Abstract:

In this study, the researchers present the mathematical model of the impact of vaccination on the transmission dynamics of fowl pox in poultry. The model resulted in a system of 1st order ordinary differential equation. Analyzing the system using methods from dynamical system theory together with Routh-Harwitz theorem, it was established that the disease-free equilibrium is locally stable if the effective reproductive ratio Rρ = (1 - ρ) αβ/d1+r1+μ in the presence of vaccination is <1 and unstable if it is >1. Using the condition for control, the critical proportion that needs to be vaccinated to achieve herd immunity for fowl pox is established as ρc = αβ - (d1+r1+μ)/αβ. From this research, researchers discover that fowl pox can be eradicated from the poultry through vaccination provided the critical proportion ρc is achieved.

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