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Combination prediction method of chaotic time series

DOI: 10.1007/s11434-007-0097-0

Keywords: chaotic time series,prediction,add-weight one-rank local-region method,interval prediction

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Abstract:

In the present paper, we propose an approach of combination prediction of chaotic time series. The method is based on the adding-weight one-rank local-region method of chaotic time series. The method allows us to define an interval containing a future value with a given probability, which is obtained by studying the prediction error distribution. Its effectiveness is shown with data generated by Logistic map.

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