| [1] | Thaler RH (1988) Anomalies: The winner's curse. J Econ Perspect 2: 191–202.
|
| [2] | Cox JC, Isaac RM (1984) In search of the winner's curse. Econ Inq 22: 579–592.
|
| [3] | Dyer D, Kagel JH (1996) Bidding in common value auctions: How the commercial construction industry corrects for the winner's curse. Manage Sci 42: 1463–1475.
|
| [4] | Harrison GW, List JA (2007) Naturally occurring markets and exogenous laboratory experiments: A case study of the winner's curse. Cambridge (MA): National Bureau of Economic Research. pp. 1–20. NBER Working Paper No. 13072.
|
| [5] | Capen EC, Clapp RV, Campbell WM (1971) Competitive bidding in high-risk situations. J Petrol Technol 23: 641–653.
|
| [6] | Cassing J, Douglas RW (1980) Implications of the auction mechanism in baseball's free-agent draft. South Econ J 47: 110–121.
|
| [7] | Dessauer JP (1981) Book publishing: What it is, what it does. 2nd edition. New York: R. R. Bowker.
|
| [8] | Hendricks K, Porter RH, Boudreau B (1987) Information, returns, and bidding behavior in OCS auctions: 1954–1969. J Ind Econ 35: 517–542.
|
| [9] | Ioannidis JPA (2005) Contradicted and initially stronger effects in highly cited clinical research. J Am Med Assoc 294: 218–228.
|
| [10] | Krzyzanowska MK, Pintilie M, Tannock IF (2003) Factors associated with failure to publish large randomized trials presented at an oncology meeting. J Am Med Assoc 290: 495–501.
|
| [11] | Stern JM (2006) Publication bias: Evidence of delayed publication in a cohort study of clinical research projects. Br Med J 315: 640–645.
|
| [12] | Goodman SN (2008) Systematic reviews are not biased by results from trials stopped early for benefit. J Clin Epidemiol 61: 95–96.
|
| [13] | Bassler D, Ferreira-Gonzalez I, Briel M, Cook DJ, Devereaux PJ, et al. (2007) Systematic reviewers neglect bias that results from trials stopped early for benefit. J Clin Epidemiol 60: 869–873.
|
| [14] | Ioannidis JP (2008) Why most discovered true associations are inflated. Epidemiology 19: 640–648.
|
| [15] | Kavvoura FK, Liberopoulos G, Ioannidis JPA (2007) Selection in reported epidemiological risks: An empirical assessment. PLoS Med 4: e79. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0040079.
|
| [16] | Kyzas PA, Denaxa-Kyza D, Ioannidis JP (2007) Almost all articles on cancer prognostic markers report statistically significant results. Eur J Cancer 43: 2559–2579.
|
| [17] | Turner EH, Matthews AM, Linardatos E, Tell RA, Rosenthal R (2008) Selective publication of antidepressant trials and its influence on apparent efficacy. N Eng J Med 358: 252–260.
|
| [18] | Ioannidis JPA, Trikalinos TA (2005) Early extreme contradictory estimates may appear in published research: The Proteus phenomenon in molecular genetics research and randomized trials. J Clin Epidemiol 58: 543–549.
|
| [19] | Ioannidis JPA (2005) Why most published research findings are false. PLoS Med 2: e124. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0020124.
|
| [20] | Easterbrook P, Berlin JA, Gopalan R, Matthews DR (1991) Publication bias in clinical research. Lancet 337: 867–872.
|
| [21] | Ioannidis JP (2006) Evolution and translation of research findings: From bench to where. PLoS Clin Trials 1: e36. doi:10.1371/journal.pctr.0010036.
|
| [22] | Contopoulos-Ioannidis DG, Ntzani E, Ioannidis JP (2003) Translation of highly promising basic science research into clinical applications. Am J Med 114: 477–484.
|
| [23] | National Human Genome Research Institute (2008) The Cancer Genome Atlas. Available: http://www.genome.gov/17516564. Accessed 4 September 2008.
|
| [24] | Frank RH, Cook PJ (1995) The winner-take-all society. New York: Free Press.
|
| [25] | Goodman SN, Altman DG, George SL (1998) Statistical reviewing policies of medical journals: Caveat lector. J Gen Intern Med 13: 753–756.
|
| [26] | Biomed Central (2008) Most viewed articles in past year. Available: http://www.biomedcentral.com/mostviewedb？yyear/. Accessed 4 September 2008.
|
| [27] | The PLoS Medicine Editors (2006) The impact factor game. PLoS Med 3: e291. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0030291.
|
| [28] | Smith R (2006) Commentary: The power of the unrelenting impact factor—Is it a force for good or harm. Int J Epidemiol 35: 1129–1130.
|
| [29] | Andersen J, Belmont J, Cho CT (2006) Journal impact factor in the era of expanding literature. J Microbiol Immunol Infect 39: 436–443.
|
| [30] | Ha TC, Tan SB, Soo KC (2006) The journal impact factor: Too much of an impact. Ann Acad Med Singapore 35: 911–916.
|
| [31] | Song F, Eastwood A, Bilbody S, Duley L (1999) The role of electronic journals in reducing publication bias. Med Inform 24: 223–229.
|
| [32] | Rossner M, Van Epps H, Hill E (2007) Show me the data. J Exp Med 204: 3052–3053.
|
| [33] | Chew M, Villanueva EV, van der Weyden MB (2007) Life and times of the impact factor: Retrospective analysis of trends for seven medical journals (1994–2005) and their editors' views. J Royal Soc Med 100: 142–150.
|
| [34] | Ronco C (2006) Scientific journals: Who impacts the impact factor. Int J Artif Organs 29: 645–648.
|
| [35] | Ioannidis JPA (2006) Concentration of the most-cited papers in the scientific literature: analysis of journal ecosystems. PLoS ONE 1: e5. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0000005.
|
| [36] | Pan Z, Trikalinos TA, Kavvoura FK, Lau J, Ioannidis JP (2005) Local literature bias in genetic epidemiology: An empirical evaluation of the Chinese literature. PLoS Med 2: e334. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0020334.
|
| [37] | Ireland NJ (1994) On limiting the market for status signals. J Public Econ 53: 91–110.
|
| [38] | Becker GS (1991) A note on restaurant pricing and other examples of social influences on price. Polit Econ 99: 1109–1116.
|
| [39] | Dasgupta P, David PA (1994) Toward a new economics of science. Res Pol 23: 487–521.
|
| [40] | Bikhchandani S, Hirshleifer D, Welch I (1998) Learning from the behavior of others: Conformity, fads, and informational cascades. J Econ Perspect 12: 151–170.
|
| [41] | Hirshleifer D, Teoh SH (2003) Herd behaviour and cascading in capital markets: A review and synthesis. Eur Financ Manage 9: 25–66.
|
| [42] | Rzhetsky A, Lossifov I, Loh JM, White KP (2007) Microparadigms: Chains of collective reasoning in publications about molecular interactions. Proc Nat Acad Sci U S A 103: 4940–4945.
|
| [43] | Nature (2008) Getting published in Nature: The editorial process. Available: http://www.nature.com/nature/authors/get？_published/index.html. Accessed 4 September 2008.
|
| [44] | Science (2008) About Science and AAAS. Available: http://www.sciencemag.org/help/about/abo？ut.dtl. Accessed 4 September 2008.
|
| [45] | Merton RK (1957) Priorities in scientific discovery: A chapter in the sociology of science. Am Sociol Rev 22: 635–659.
|
| [46] | Olson CM, Rennie D, Cook D, Dickersin K, Flanagin A (2002) Publication bias in editorial decision making. J Am Med Assoc 287: 2825–2828.
|
| [47] | Brown A, Kraft D, Schmitz SM, Sharpless V, Martin C (2006) Association of industry sponsorship to published outcomes in gastrointestinal clinical research. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 4: 1445–1451.
|
| [48] | Patsopoulos NA, Analatos AA, Ioannidis JPA (2006) Origin and funding of the most equently cited papers in medicine: Database analysis. Br Med J 332: 1061–1064.
|
| [49] | Bubela TM, Caulfield TA (2004) Do the print media “hype” genetic research? A comparison of newspaper stories and peer-reviewed research papers. Canad Med Assoc J 170: 1399–1407.
|
| [50] | Polanyi M (1964) Science, faith and society. 2nd edition. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
|
| [51] | Dickersin K, Chan S, Chalmers TC, Sacks HS, Smith H Jr (1987) Publication bias and clinical trials. Control Clin Trials 8: 343–353.
|
| [52] | Callaham ML, Wears RL, Weber EJ, Barton C, Young G (1998) Positive-outcome bias and other limitations in the outcome of research abstracts submitted to a scientific meeting. J Am Med Assoc 280: 254–257.
|
| [53] | Kahneman D (2003) A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. Am Psychol 58: 697–720.
|
| [54] | Ioannidis JPA (2006) Journals should publish all “null” results and should sparingly publish “positive” results. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 15: 185.
|
| [55] | Popper K (1959) The logic of scientific discovery. New York: Basic Books.
|
