？CUáL ES EL CRECIMIENTO DE LARGO PLAZO DE LA ECONOMíA CHILENA? UNA RESPUESTA FORMAL PARA UNA ANTIGUA PREGUNTA

the objective of the present study is to estimate the economy growth rate in the context of full use of the productive resources. time series univariete models, including a deterministic tendency (with mean breaks), and a space-state model that considers a stochastic tendency and a cyclic component, estimated by kalman′s filter were used. the cyclic component is calculated with and without regime chages (markov-switching models), according to friedman′s idea -plucking model. the results indicate that the chilean economy potential growth rate would be greater than 4% annually, accompanied by economic asymmetric cycles.