The aim of this article is to examine the effect of official development assistance (ODA) on domestic investment and foreign direct investment (FDI) in 30 sub-Saharan African countries over the period 2006 to 2019. To achieve this objective, two linear models are specified on the basis of existing literature. The first model examines the effect of ODA on domestic investment, while the second model examines the effect of ODA on FDI. The estimation results, obtained using the Realisable Generalized Least Squares (RGLS) method of Parks (1967), show that ODA positively affects domestic investment, on the one hand, and FDI in sub-Saharan African countries, on the other. Estimation of these models using the method of Driscoll & Kraay (1998) confirms the robustness of our initial results. On the basis of these robust results, we recommend that the governments of sub-Saharan African countries and international institutions ensure that ODA is used in a way that complements national efforts and does not replace them. This complementarity requires strategic management of aid, with an emphasis on productive investment while at the same time aiming to attract FDI.
References
[1]
Amusa, K., Monkam, N., & Viegi, N. (2016). Foreign Aid and Foreign Direct Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Panel Data Analysis. https://econpapers.repec.org/paper/prewpaper/201642.htm
[2]
Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations. The Review of Economic Studies, 58, 277-297. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297968
[3]
Arshad Khan, M., & Ahmed, A. (2007). Foreign Aid—Blessing or Curse: Evidence from Pakistan. The Pakistan Development Review, 47, 215-240. https://doi.org/10.30541/v47i3pp.215-240
[4]
Berg, E. (1997). Dilemmes dans les stratégies d’aide. Revue d’économie du développement, 5, 83-100. https://doi.org/10.3406/recod.1997.976
[5]
Camara, O. (2010). Foreign Aid in Equatorial Guinea: Macroeconomic Features and Future Challenges. MPRA Paper No. 25001.
[6]
Campbell, J. Y., & Perron, P. (1991). Pitfalls and Opportunities: What Macroeconomists Should Know about Unit Roots. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 6, 141-201. https://doi.org/10.1086/654163
[7]
Chauvet, L., & Mesplé-Somps, S. (2007). Impact des financements internationaux sur les inégalités des pays en développement. Revue économique, 58, 735-744. https://doi.org/10.3917/reco.583.0735
[8]
Chenery, H. B., & Strout, A. M. (1966). Foreign Assistance and Economic Development. The American Economic Review, 56, 679-733.
[9]
Dickey, D. A. (1976). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing in Non-Stationary Time Series. Doctoral Dissertation, Iowa State University.
[10]
Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1981). Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root. Econometrica, 49, 1057-1072. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912517
[11]
Driscoll, J. C., & Kraay, A. C. (1998). Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially Dependent Panel Data. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80, 549-560. https://doi.org/10.1162/003465398557825
[12]
Easterly, W. (2001). The Ghost of Financing Gap: Testing the Growth Model Used in the International Financial Institutions. Journal of Development Economics, 60, 423-438. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0304-3878(99)00047-4
[13]
Easterly, W. (2009). Can the West Save Africa? Journal of Economic Literature, 47, 373-447. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.47.2.373
[14]
Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing. Econometrica, 55, 251-276. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913236
[15]
Fuller, W. A. (1976). Introduction to Statistical Time Series. Wiley.
[16]
Gomanee, K., Girma, S., & Morrissey, O. (2005). Aid and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Accounting for Transmission Mechanisms. Journal of International Development, 17, 1055-1075. https://doi.org/10.1002/jid.1259
[17]
Harms, P., & Lutz, M. (2006). The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Domestic Investment: Evidence from a Panel of Developing Countries. World Development,34, 1184-1206.
[18]
Janský, P. (2012). Aid and Foreign Direct Investment: Substitutes, Complements or Neither? International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, 5, 119-132. https://doi.org/10.1504/ijtgm.2012.048528
[19]
Johnsen, S. (1991). Testing Cointegration Using an I(2) Model. Discussion Paper, 91-11. University of Copenhagen.
[20]
Kimura, F., & Todo, Y. (2010). Foreign Aid as Trade Promotion: Empirical Evidence from a Gravity Model. Journal of Development Economics, 91, 1-11.
[21]
Kosack, S., & Tobin, J. (2006). Funding Self-Sustaining Development: The Role of Aid, FDI and Government in Economic Success. International Organization, 60, 205-243. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818306060097
[22]
Larsson, R., Lyhagen, J., & Löthgren, M. (2001). Likelihood-Based Cointegration Tests in Heterogeneous Panels. The Econometrics Journal, 4, 109-142. https://doi.org/10.1111/1368-423x.00059
[23]
Levin, A., Lin, C., & James Chu, C. (2002). Unit Root Tests in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite-Sample Properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108, 1-24. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0304-4076(01)00098-7
[24]
Levy, V. (1988). Aid and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Recent Experience. European Economic Review, 32, 1777-1795. https://doi.org/10.1016/0014-2921(88)90085-2
[25]
Mainguy, C. (2004). L’Impact Des Investissements Directs Étrangers Sur Les Économies En Développement, Region et Developpement. Revue Région et Développement-Université de Toulon, 20, 65-89.
[26]
Mallaye, D. (2010). Impact de l’aide publique au développement sur la croissance économiquedes pays d’Afrique subsaharienne: Une analyse comparative. Thèse de doctorat, Université Montesquieu-Bordeaux IV.
[27]
Moreira, S. B. (2005). Evaluating the Impact of Foreign Aid on Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Study. Journal of Economic Development,30, 25-48.
[28]
Mushagalusa, A. B. (2021). The Impact of Official Development Assistance on Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Panel Quantile Regression Approach. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Kinshasa.
[29]
Nchofoung, T., Asongu, S. A., & Nting, R. T. (2022). Thresholds of Knowledge Economy for Environmental Quality in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Panel Quantile Regression Approach. Technological Forecasting and Social Change,174, Article 121243.
[30]
Nyoni, T. S. (1998). Foreign Aid and Economic Performance in Tanzania. World Development, 26, 1235-1240. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0305-750x(98)00047-3
[31]
Papanek, G. F. (1973). Aid, Foreign Private Investment, Savings, and Growth in Less Developed Countries. Journal of Political Economy, 81, 120-130. https://doi.org/10.1086/260009
[32]
Parks, R. W. (1967). Efficient Estimation of a System of Regression Equations When Disturbances Are Both Serially and Contemporaneously Correlated. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 62, 500-509. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1967.10482923
[33]
Pedroni, P. (1999). Critical Values for Cointegration Tests in Heterogeneous Panels with Multiple Regressors. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61, 653-670. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0084.61.s1.14
[34]
Pedroni, P. (2004). Panel Cointegration: Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties of Pooled Time Series Tests with an Unknown Break. Econometric Theory,20, 597-625.
[35]
Perron, P., & Vogelsang, T. J. (1993). A Note on the Asymptotic Distributions of Unit Root Tests in the Additive Outlier Model with Breaks. Brazilian Review of Econometrics, 13, 8-20. https://doi.org/10.12660/bre.v13n21993.2981
[36]
Pham, H. N. K. (2015). The Impact of Official Development Assistance on Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence from Vietnam. Master’s Thesis, Victoria University of Wellington.
[37]
Phillips, P. C. B., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression. Biometrika,75, 335-346.
[38]
Sachs, J. D. (2005). The End of Poverty: Economic Possibilities for Our Time. The Penguin Press.
[39]
Tarp, F. (2009). Aid Effectiveness. https://www.un.org/en/ecosoc/newfunct/pdf/aid_effectiveness-finn_tarp.pdf