|
E-Commerce Letters 2024
数字经济与贵州农村地区发展的耦合性分析
|
Abstract:
论文以2016~2021年面板数据为基础,采用耦合分析模型和灰色关联分析模型,探讨数字经济与贵州农村地区经济发展的耦合性,并从理论和实践两个层面深入分析数字经济在促进农村地区经济发展中的作用机制,以及贵州农村地区经济发展为数字经济提供的市场空间和机遇。研究结论表明:贵州省数字经济与农村发展的耦合协调度在2016~2021年间已由中度失调达到初级协调阶段;2016~2021年间,数字经济的发展程度整体上弱于乡村振兴,但前者增长速度明显快于后者,差距逐步缩小,数字经济与农村发展具有较高的相关度,但并未达到最优耦合状态,难以实现高质量协调互补发展;数字经济的发展为贵州农村地区经济的转型升级提供了新的动力,数字经济的应用和发展需要依托于贵州农村地区经济的不断发展和优化;贵州农村地区经济的发展也为数字经济的应用和发展提供了广阔的市场空间和发展机遇,随着贵州农村地区经济的不断发展,数字经济的应用和发展将得到进一步拓展。
The article is based on panel data from 2016~2021 and adopts coupling analysis model and grey correlation analysis model to explore the coupling relationship between the digital economy and the rural economic development in Guizhou province. It deeply analyzes the mechanism of the digital economy in promoting rural economic development from both theoretical and practical perspectives, as well as the market space and opportunities provided by rural economic development for the digital economy. The research conclusions indicate that the coupling coordination degree between the digital economy and rural development in Guizhou province has reached the primary coordination stage from moderate dislocation during the period of 2016~2021. During this same period, the development degree of the digital economy is generally weaker than the rural revitalization, but its growth rate is significantly faster, and the gap gradually narrows. The digital economy and rural development have a high correlation but have not reached the optimal coupling state, making it difficult to achieve high-quality coordinated and complementary development. The development of the digital economy provides new impetus for the transformation and upgrading of the rural economy in Guizhou, and the application and development of the digital economy need to rely on the continuous development and optimization of the rural economy in Guizhou. The development of the rural economy in Guizhou also provides broad market space and development opportunities for the application and development of the digital economy, and with the continuous development of the rural economy in Guizhou, the application and development of the digital economy will be further expanded.
[1] | 腾讯研究院. 数字经济崛起: 未来全球发展的新主线[EB/OL]. https://www.tisi.org/16092, 2024-06-30 |
[2] | Tapscott, D. (1996) The Digital Economy: Promise and Peril in the Age of Networked Intelligence. McGrawHill. |
[3] | Brynjolfsson, E. and Kahin, B. (2000) Understanding the Digital Economy: Data, Tools and Research. MIT Press. |
[4] | Kim, B., Barua, A. and Whinston, A.B. (2002) Virtual Field Experiments for a Digital Economy: A New Research Methodology for Exploring an Information Economy. Decision Support Systems, 32, 215-231. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0167-9236(01)00094-x |
[5] | Carlsson, B. (2004) The Digital Economy: What Is New and What Is Not? Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 15, 245-264. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2004.02.001 |
[6] | Turcan, V. and Gribincea, A. (2014) Digital Economy—A Premise for Economic Development in the 20th Century. Economy & Sociology Theoretical & Scientifical Journal, No. 2, 109-115. |
[7] | 王俊岭, 刘勇, 艾力肯. 浅谈数字经济的发展与挑战[J]. 伊犁师范学院学报(社会科学汉文版), 2001, 20(3): 75-77. |
[8] | 刘助仁. 数字经济的国际比较[J]. 云南科技管理, 2002, 15(1): 34-38. |
[9] | 孙德林, 陈小龙. 数字经济的本质与后发优势[J]. 当代财经, 2004(12): 22-23. |
[10] | 何枭吟. 数字经济与信息经济、网络经济和知识经济的内涵比较[J]. 时代金融, 2011, 10(29): 47-47. |
[11] | 李长江. 关于数字经济内涵的初步探讨[J]. 电子政务, 2017(9): 84-92. |
[12] | 张雪玲, 焦月霞. 中国数字经济发展指数及其应用初探[J]. 浙江社会科学, 2017(4): 32-40. |
[13] | 孙杰. 从数字经济到数字贸易: 内涵、特征、规则与影响[J]. 国际经贸探索, 2020, 36(5): 87-98. |
[14] | Aleksandrov, I., Burmistrov, A., Rasskazova, O. and Fedorova, M. (2019) Self-Development of Rural Areas under Digital Economy Conditions as Exemplified by Northwestern Federal District Regions. IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering, 497, Article 012003. https://doi.org/10.1088/1757-899x/497/1/012003 |
[15] | Gusmanov, R., Stovba, E., Paptsov, A., Salimova, G. and Gusmanow, N. (2022) Scenario Forecasting of the Agri-Food Sphere in Rural Territories Development in the Conditions of Digital Economy Formation. Journal of Industrial Integration and Management, 7, 257-272. https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424862222500063 |
[16] | Pattanapong, T., Beth, C. and Menelaos, G. (2022) How Can Rural Businesses Thrive in the Digital Economy? A UK Perspective. Heliyon, 8, e10745. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e10745 |
[17] | Aleksandrov, I.N. and Fedorova, M.Y. (2019) Digital Economy and Green Economy: Rural Unemployment and Territorial Self-Development in Russia. E3S Web of Conferences, 110, Article 02019. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/201911002019 |
[18] | 李煜颖. 数字经济与农村经济融合发展路径分析[J]. 现代化农业, 2023(3): 79-81. |
[19] | 蒋敏. 乡村振兴视域下数字经济与农业农村融合发展的困境和对策研究[J]. 现代农业, 2023, 48(1): 14-17. |
[20] | 赵凯鑫. 数字经济对农业农村现代化发展的创新驱动[J]. 棉花学报, 2023, 35(1): 81-82. |
[21] | 时孜腾. 数字经济驱动乡村产业振兴的内在机理——评《数字乡村: 数字经济时代的农业农村发展新范式》[J]. 国际贸易, 2022(11): 98. |
[22] | 崔佳钰. 山东省数字经济与农业农村深度融合发展探讨[J]. 南方农业, 2022, 16(11): 152-155. |
[23] | 李燕凌, 温馨, 高维新. 数字乡村与乡村振兴耦合协调发展的时序适配性分析[J]. 农业经济与管理, 2022(4): 1-12. |
[24] | 杨玉敬. 数字经济与乡村振兴耦合协调发展水平研究[J]. 技术经济与管理研究, 2022(7): 14-19. |
[25] | 齐思斯. 我国数字普惠金融与乡村振兴耦合协调发展研究[D]: [硕士学位论文]. 贵阳: 贵州财经大学, 2021. |
[26] | 张旺, 白永秀. 数字经济与乡村振兴耦合的理论构建、实证分析及优化路径[J]. 中国软科学, 2022(1): 132-146. |
[27] | 赵凯, 鲁宇, 谈梦伟, 张哲源, 马崇伯, 李展杰. 数字经济发展与乡村振兴耦合协调机制研究[J]. 经济师, 2023(4): 121-123, 125. |
[28] | 葛美玲, 宋延东, 田一楠, 李梦, 王凤娟. 河北省数字经济与乡村振兴耦合协调及融合发展路径研究[J]. 统计与咨询, 2022(6): 39-43. |
[29] | 廖重斌. 环境与经济协调发展的定量评判及其分类体系——以珠江三角洲城市群为例[J]. 热带地理, 1999, 19(2): 76-82. |