河南是全国重要的粮食主产区，也是全国小麦的重要产区。河南省小麦产量的稳定不仅对本省的粮食生产有重要意义，对保障全国粮食供给，维护国家粮食安全也具有重要意义。本文根据1980~2013年以来河南省小麦的产量、小麦播种面积、有效灌溉面积、化肥使用量、农业机械数量、农业从业人数、农业技术进步、农业政策支持等生产要素的数据，运用多元线性回归分析、逐步回归分析等分析方法，对河南省小麦生产因素和产量进行分析和预测。
Henan is an important grain producing
area in the country and an important production area for wheat in the country.
The stability of wheat production in Henan Province is not only important for
the province’s grain production, but also important for safeguarding national
food supply and maintaining national food security. This paper uses multiple
linear regression based on data on production factors such as wheat yield,
wheat planting area, effective irrigated area, fertilizer use, number of
agricultural machinery, agricultural employment, agricultural technology advancement,
and agricultural policy support in Henan Province since 1980-2013. Analysis and
stepwise regression analysis were used to analyze and predict wheat production
factors and yields in Henan Province.
