中国-东盟农产品产业内贸易规模、水平和结构分析
Analysis on Scale,Level and Structure of China-ASEAN Intra-Industry Trade of Agricultural Products

将农产品分为六大类，利用Grubel和Lloyd、Azhar和Elliot的方法，依次从规模、水平和结构3个方面分析了2004—2013年中国-东盟农产品产业内贸易的发展情况。结果表明：第一，中国-东盟农产品产业内贸易规模10年来保持快速增长的态势，但近年来增速趋缓；第二，中国-东盟农产品产业内贸易水平整体很低，其中劳动密集型农产品的产业内贸易特征较为明显；第三，水平型和垂直型产业内贸易都在中国-东盟农产品贸易中占有越来越重要的地位，其中垂直型产业内贸易总体上所占份额略高，但大部分类别农产品的产业内贸易以水平型为主。建议中国应缩小土地密集型农产品的贸易逆差，强化农产品的水平差异性特征，有选择性地深化与东盟国家的农产品贸易合作。
This paper classifies agricultural products into six categories,and uses Grubel and Lloyd,Azhar and Elliot methods to analyze the development situation of China-ASEAN intra-industry trade of agricultural products from 2004 to 2013 from the perspectives of scale,level and structure.The result shows that firstly,the intra-industry trade scale of China-ASEAN agricultural products remains a trend of swift growth in the past ten years,but the speed is slowing down in recent years; secondly,the intra-industry trade level of China-ASEAN agricultural products is very low,while the characteristics of intra-industry trade of labor-intensive agricultural products are much significant; thirdly,both horizontal and vertical intra-industry trade are playing more and more important roles in China-ASEAN agricultural trade,while the quotient of vertical intra-industry trade is larger,but most categories of agricultural products’ intra-industry trade are horizontally-domintated.Therefore,this paper proposes that China should reduce the trade deficit of land-intensive agricultural products,intensify the horizontal differentiation characteristics of agricultural products and deepen the trade cooperation of agricultural products with ASEAN countries selectively.