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- 2018
中国住房消费问题研究论纲
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Abstract:
研究中国住房消费问题,需要以极大的勇气去了解足够多的真实世界的事实。要想解释住房消费心理失衡问题,寄希望于借助简化了的经济学理命题就概括全部几乎不可能;要见缝追影去涉猎包容万象的理性和适应性预期理论,补上国民缺失了的基本经济学常识,积极倡导理性投资和消费。借助于学理研究想方设法去解决(创新机制设计),让住宅消费回归常态,以此为契机倡导理性消费,让住房真正成为只是用来满足人的居住需要的场所。让住房价格和市场起作用,既是全面推进市场化进程的必然结果,又是"去"住房过度市场化(打击投机)的终极目标(更加注重公平的和谐的社会建立),让住房市场回归到均衡状态平稳运行——住有所居。本研究论及此问题的要纲如下:何处找寻到超越住房货币经济和认识公平社会建设所需要件的实证证据,如何谋划新举措来破解因住房货币化而催生的实体和虚拟二元经济失衡难题,以及为何将政策作为"安慰剂"会使调控所要预期目标越来越难以达到的实践难题。
The study of housing consumption in China requires great courage to understand the real world sufficiently. The question is not a simple economic proposition,which can generalize all of them, we need to find the expectation theory. With the help of the theory research (an innovation mechanism designing), let the residential consumption return to normal as an opportunity to promote the rational consumption, let the return of housing to meet the people's need to become living place. Price and the market play a role in the housing market, which is the inevitable result pushing forward the marketization process, also is the ultimate goal eliminating over housing market (speculative) (paying more attention to establishing the fair and harmonious society), which makes the housing market return to equilibrium running smoothly. The key of research is to find empirical evidence required the construction of a fair society, beyond the monetary economic housing understanding, and how to plan new initiatives to crack the urban-rural dual economic imbalance problem of the fictitious economy and real economy because of the housing monetization, and to resolve the practice problem that it would be difficult for the government to use regulation policies as a placebo.