Sykes L R. Aftershock zones of great earthquakes, seismicity gaps, and earthquake prediction for Alaska and the Aleutians. J. Geophys. Res., 1971, 76(32): 8021-8041.
[2]
Perez O J, Jacob K H. Tectonic model and seismic potential of the eastern Gulf of Alaska and Yakataga Seismic Gap. J. Geophys. Res., 1980, 85(B12): 7132-7150.
[3]
Davies J, Sykes L, House L, et al. Shumagin Seismic Gap, Alaska Peninsula: History of great earthquakes, tectonic setting, and evidence for high seismic potential. J. Geophys. Res., 1981, 86(B5): 3821-3855.
[4]
Gaudemer Y, Tapponnier P, Meyer B, et al. Partitioning of crustal slip between linked, active faults in the eastern Qilian Shan, and evidence for a major seismic gap, the ''Tianzhu gap'', on the western Haiyuan Fault, Gansu (China). Geophys. J. Int., 1995, 120(3): 599-645.
[5]
Wen X Z, Yi G X, Xu X W. Background and precursory seismicities along and surrounding the Kunlun fault before the Ms8.1, 2001, Kokoxili earthquake, China. J. Asian. Earth. Sci., 2007, 30(1): 63-72.
[6]
Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities. Earthquake Probabilities in the San Francisco Bay Region: 2002—2031, U. S. Geological Survey Open-File Report, 2003. 03-214.
[7]
Bilham R, Gaur V K, Molnar P. Himalayan seismic risk. Science, 2001, 293(5534): 1442-1444.
[8]
M7专项工作组. 中国大陆大地震中-长期危险性研究. 北京: 地震出版社, 2012: 1-336. Working Group of M7. Study on the Mid- to Long-term Potential of Large Earthquakes on the Chinese Continent (in Chinese). Beijing: Seismological Press, 2012: 1-336.
[9]
四川省地质矿产局. 四川省区域地质志. 北京: 地质出版社, 1991: 154-281. Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources of Sichuan Province. Regional Geology of Sichuan Province (in Chinese). Beijing: Geological Publishing House, 1991: 154-281.
[10]
周荣军, 唐荣昌, 钱洪等. 地震构造类比法的应用——以川东地区华蓥山断裂带为例. 地震研究, 1997, 20(3): 316-322. Zhou R J, Tang R C, Qian H, et al. An application of seismotectonic analogy to the Huayingshan fault zone in east Sichuan. Journal of Seismological Research (in Chinese), 1997, 20(3): 316-322.
[11]
张培震, 邓起东, 张国民等. 中国大陆的强震活动与活动地块. 中国科学D辑(地球科学), 2003, 33(S1): 12-20. Zhang P Z, Deng Q D, Zhang G M, et al. Active tectonic blocks and strong earthquakes in the continent of China. Sci. China Ser. D, 2003, 46(Suppl.1): 13-24.
[12]
张世民, 聂高众, 刘旭东等. 荥经—马边—盐津逆冲构造带断裂运动组合及地震分段特征. 地震地质, 2005, 27(2): 221-233. Zhang S M, Nie G Z, Liu X D, et al. Kinematical and structural patterns of Yingjing-Mabian-Yanjin thrust fault zone, Southeast of Tibetan plateau, and its segmentation from earthquakes. Seismology and Geology (in Chinese), 2005, 27(2): 221-233.
[13]
闻学泽. 四川西部鲜水河—安宁河—则木河断裂带的地震破裂分段特征. 地震地质, 2000, 22(3): 239-249. Wen X Z. Character of rupture segmentation of the Xianshuihe-Anninghe-Zemuhe fault zone, western Sichuan. Seismology and Geology (in Chinese), 2000, 22(3): 239-249.
[14]
国家地震局震源机制研究小组. 中国地震震源机制研究(第二集). 国家地震局, 1973: 1-77. Working Group on Focal Mechanisms of State Seismological Bureau. Study on Focal Mechanism Resolutions of Earthquakes in China (Report Ⅱ) (in Chinese). State Seismological Bureau of China, 1973: 1-77.
[15]
阚荣举, 张四昌, 晏凤桐等. 我国西南地区现代构造应力场与现代构造活动特征的探讨. 地球物理学报, 1977, 20(2): 96-109. Kan R J, Zhang S C, Yan F T, et al. Discussion on characteristics of recent tectonic stress field and recent tectonic movement in southwestern China. Chinese J. Geophys. (in Chinese), 1977, 20(2): 96-109.
[16]
阚荣举, 王绍晋, 黄崐等. 中国西南地区现代构造应力场与板内断块相对运动. 地震地质, 1983, 5(2): 79-90. Kan R J, Wang S J, Huang K, et al. Modern stress field and relative motion of intraplate block in southwest China. Seismology and Geology (in Chinese), 1983, 5(2): 79-90.
[17]
成尔林. 四川及其邻区现代构造应力场和现代构造运动特征. 地震学报, 1981, 3(3): 231-241. Cheng E L. Current tectonic stress and tectonic movement characteristics of Sichuan and its adjacent areas. Acta Seimologica Sinica (in Chinese), 1981, 3(3): 231-241.
[18]
Global CMT Catalog Search. http://www. globalcmt. org/CMTsearch. Html.
[19]
张培震. 青藏高原东缘川西地区的现今构造变形、应变分配与深部动力过程. 中国科学D 辑(地球科学),2008,38(9): 1041-1056. Zhang P Z. The tectonic deformation, strain distribution and deep dynamic processes in the eastern margin of the Qinghai-Tibetan plateau. Sci. China Ser. D (in Chinese), 2008, 38(9): 1041-1056.
[20]
方国瑜. 中国西南历史地理考释. 北京: 中华书局, 1987: 1-1310 Fang G Y. Exploration on the History and Geography of Southwest China (in Chinese). Beijing: Zhonghua Book Company, 1987: 1-1310.
[21]
张培震, 闻学泽, 徐锡伟等. 2008年汶川8.0级特大地震孕育和发生的多单元组合模式. 科学通报, 2009, 54(7): 944-953. Zhang P Z, Wen X Z, Xu X W, et al. Tectonic model of the great Wenchuan earthquake of May 12, 2008, Sichuan, China. Chinese Sci. Bull. (in Chinese), 2009, 54(7): 944-953.
[22]
杜方, 闻学泽, 张培震等. 2008年汶川8.0级地震前横跨龙 门山断裂带的震间形变. 地球物理学报, 2009, 52(11): 2729-2738. Du F, Wen X Z, Zhang P Z, et al. Interseismic deformation across the Longmenshan fault zone before the 2008 M8.0 Wenchuan earthquake. Chinese J. Geophys. (in Chinese), 2009, 52 (11): 2729-2738.
[23]
Savage J C, Prescott W H. Asthenosphere readjustment and the earthquake cycle. J. Geophys. Res., 1978, 83(B7): 3369-3376.
[24]
Wells D L, Coppersmith K L. New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacement. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 1994, 84(4): 974-1002.
[25]
闻学泽, 范军, 易桂喜等. 川西安宁河断裂上的地震空区. 中国科学(D辑)——地球科学, 2008, 38(7): 797-807. Wen X Z, Fan J, Yi G X, et al. A seismic gap on the Anninghe fault in western Sichuan, China. Science in China: Earth Sci., 2008, 51(10): 1375-1387, doi: 10. 1007/s11430-008-0114-4.
[26]
Wen X Z, Ma S L, Xu X W, et al. Historical pattern and behavior of earthquake ruptures along the eastern boundary of the Sichuan-Yunnan faulted-block, southwestern China. Phys. Earth. Planet. Inter., 2008, 168(1-2): 16-36.
[27]
Nishenko S P. Circum-Pacific seismic potential: 1989—1999. Pure Appl. Geophys., 1991, 135(2): 169-259.
[28]
闻学泽. 时间相依的活动断裂分段地震危险性评估及其问题. 科学通报, 1998, 43(14): 1457-1466. Wen X Z. Assessment of time-dependent seismic hazards on segments of active fault, and its problems. Chinese Sci. Bull., 1998, 43: 1937-1950.
[29]
Fialko Y. Interseismic strain accumulation and the earthquake potential on the southern San Andreas fault system. Nature, 2006, 441(7096): 968-971.
[30]
Wiemer S, Wyss M. Mapping the frequency-magnitude distribution in asperities: An improved technique to calculate recurrence times? J. Geophys. Res., 1997, 102(B7): 15115-15128.
[31]
Wyss M. Fractal dimension and b-value on creeping and locked patches of the San Andreas fault near Parkfield, California. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 2004, 94(2): 410-421.
[32]
何宏林, 池田安隆. 安宁河断裂带晚第四纪运动特征及模式的讨论. 地震学报, 2007, 29(5): 537-548. He H L, Yasutakyr I. Faulting on the Anninghe fault zone, Southwest China in Late Quaternary and its movement model. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 2007, 20(5): 571-583.
[33]
何宏林, 池田安隆, 何玉林等. 新生的大凉山断裂带——鲜水河—小江断裂系中段的裁弯取直. 中国科学D辑(地球科学), 2008, 38(5): 564-574. He H L, Yasutaka I, He Y L, et al. Newly-generated Daliangshan Fault zone-Shortcutting on the central segment of Xianshuihe-Xiaojiang Fault system. Sci. China Ser. D, 2008, 51(9): 1248-1258.
[34]
国家地震局震源机制研究小组. 中国地震震源机制研究(第一集). 国家地震局, 1973: 1-206. Working Group on Focal Mechanisms of State Seismological Bureau. Study on Focal Mechanism Resolutions of Earthquakes in China (Report Ⅰ) (in Chinese). State Seismological Bureau of China, 1973: 1-206.
[35]
Prugger A F, Gendzwill D J. Microearthquake location: a nonlinear approach that makes use of a simplex stepping procedure. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 1988, 78(2): 799-815.
[36]
赵珠, 张润生. 四川地区地壳上地幔速度结构的初步研究. 地震学报, 1987, 9(2): 154-166. Zhao Z, Zhang R S. Primary study of crustal and upper mantle velocity structure of Sichuan Province. Acta Seismologica Sinica (in Chinese), 1987, 9(2): 154-166.
[37]
国家地震局震害防御司编. 中国历史强震目录. 北京: 地震出版社, 1995: 1-514. Department of Earthquake Disaster Prevention, State Seismological Bureau. The Catalogue of Chinese Historical Earthquakes (in Chinese). Beijing: Seismological Press, 1995: 1-514.
[38]
中国地震局震害防御司编. 中国近代地震目录. 北京: 中国科学技术出版社, 1999: 1-637. Department of Earthquake Disaster prevention, China Earthquake Administration. The Catalogue of Chinese Modern Earthquakes (in Chinese). Beijing: Science and Technology of China Press, 1999: 1-637.
[39]
四川地震资料汇编编辑组编. 四川地震资料汇编(第一卷). 成都: 四川人民出版社, 1980: 1-576. Editor Group of the Data Compilation of Earthquakes in Sichuan. The Data Compilation of Earthquakes in Sichuan (Book 1) (in Chinese). Chengdu: People''s Publishing House of Sichuan, 1980: 1-576.
[40]
云南省地震局. 云南省地震资料汇编. 北京: 地震出版社, 1988: 1-569. Seismological Bureau of Yunnan Province. Data Compilation of Historical Earthquakes of Yunnan Province (in Chinese). Beijing: Seismological Press, 1988: 1-569.
[41]
吴喜, 李祥. 古代昭通地区政区设置及变迁略考. 昭通师范高等专科学校学报, 2011, 33(1): 6-10. Wu X, Li X. On the establishment and the transition of the administrative district in Ancient Zhaotong. Journal of Zhaotong Teacher''s College (in Chinese), 2011, 33(1): 6-10.
[42]
易桂喜, 闻学泽, 王思维等. 由地震活动参数分析龙门山—岷山断裂带的现今活动习性与强震危险性. 中国地震, 2006, 22(2): 117-125. Yi G X, Wen X Z, Wang S W, et al. Study on fault sliding behaviors and strong-earthquake risk of the Longmenshan-Minshan fault zones from current seismicity parameters. Earthquake Research in China (in Chinese), 2006, 22(2): 117-125.
[43]
易桂喜, 闻学泽, 张致伟等. 川南马边地区强震危险性分析. 地震地质, 2010, 32(2): 282-293. Yi G X, Wen X Z, Zhang Z W, et al. Study on potential strong earthquake risk in Mabian area, southern Sichuan. Seismology and Geology (in Chinese), 2010, 32(2): 282-293.
[44]
Leonard M. Earthquake fault scaling: self-consistent relating of rupture length, width, average displacement, and moment release. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 2010, 100(5A): 1971-1988.