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电网技术  2010 

基于模糊理论的城市电网风险识别与评价

, PP. 127-132

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Abstract:

为提高城市电网规划的科学性,需要对城市电网风险进行识别与评价。设计了我国城市电网风险调查问卷,基于模糊隶属度理论量化了各阶段(规划阶段、可研阶段、建设阶段、运行阶段等)风险的发生可能性和损失程度,并给出各风险的综合量化分数,总结出城市电网各阶段应该关注的关键风险。该方法可为城市电网规避风险提供决策基础。

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