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电网技术  2007 

基于Logistic回归模型的电力客户欠费违约概率的预测

, PP. 85-88

Keywords: 电力营销,欠费风险,Logistic回归模型,违约概率

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Abstract:

在分析了引起电力客户欠费原因的基础上,利用可以获得的数据设计了欠费风险识别模型中的关键影响变量,并运用Logistic回归理论与方法建立了可识别电力客户欠费可能性大小的模型,根据所掌握的客户最新资料可提前预测出其欠费的违约概率,从而改变了原来的事后欠费管理的被动局面,达到了减少电力客户欠费风险的目的。

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