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电网技术  2014 

风险适应型的月度发电计划管理模式

DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2014.12.018, PP. 3384-3389

Keywords: 月度发电计划,风险适应,跟踪分析,机组停备校验

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Abstract:

传统发电计划管理主要考虑年度合约电量完成进度与电厂等负荷率,没有较好地考虑发电计划的调度可执行性,也没有考虑计划执行过程中各类不确定性因素的影响。基于此,提出了一种风险适应型的月度发电计划管理模式与编制方法。首先,在分解月电量时精细化地考虑逐日的机组组合优化安排,以预留一定的执行调整空间,并在机组组合不可行时修正月度发电计划;其次,提炼影响发电计划执行的关键边界条件,在月内持续检测边界条件的变化情况,提出响应边界条件变化的计划跟踪与调整方法,实现了月度发电计划的滚动分析、目标调整与偏差修正,降低计划执行的风险。

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