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基于集对分析的隧道设计安全风险评估研究

DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2014.04.08, PP. 38-43

Keywords: 隧道工程,安全风险,不确定型层次分析,集对分析,权重,风险等级,tunnelengineering,securityrisk,uncertainanalytichierarchyprocess,setpairanalysis,weight,risklevel

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Abstract:

:？分析引起公路隧道风险事件的主要风险源，建立安全风险评估指标体系；通过构造区间判断矩阵，考虑专家权重，采用不确定层次分析确定评估指标的权重区间；引入集对分析方法，将评估指标的权重区间转化为精确权重。最后，以岐山隧道为实例，利用此法分析风险源权重，确定各风险事件的风险等级，进而评估初步设计阶段安全风险的总体等级，分析结果为下阶段采取相应的风险控制措施提供重要依据。工程实例分析表明，集对分析应用于公路隧道设计阶段风险评估是一种科学的、有效的评估方法。

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