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高速公路建设对区域综合发展的空间溢出效应研究

, PP. 93-101

Keywords: 交通工程,高速公路,空间滞后模型,空间溢出效应,区域发展

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Abstract:

?为探索高速公路建设对区域发展的空间联动影响规律,在道路绩效空间溢出效应数理分析的基础上,以宁夏“同心—沿川子”高速公路项目为例,利用因子分析合成高速公路影响区县综合发展指数,选择典型道路绩效表征变量,构建道路投资绩效空间滞后模型,对“同心—沿川子”高速公路建设影响区域综合发展的空间溢出效应进行评价。结果表明:随着“同心—固原”、“固原—什字”和“什字—沿川子”3期高速公路阶段性施工通车,道路投资空间效应呈现短期正向溢出、中期负向溢出、长期均衡的动态变化规律。建议在高速公路投资决策时充分考虑区域经济活动特点,发挥交通项目建设对区域空间均衡发展的正向带动作用。

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