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-  2011 

贸易对中国产业能源活动碳排放的影响

DOI: 10.11821/yj2011040002

Keywords: 贸易,碳排放,碳泄露,非竞争型投入产出表

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Abstract:

摘要: 研究对外贸易对我国碳排放的影响,可以分清我国碳排放的来源,有利于我国合理制定碳减排政策和科学应对全球气候变化问题。当前有关国际贸易中隐含碳排放的研究大多没有处理好加工贸易这一重要因素。本文在理清区域间相互贸易中隐含碳排放的复杂关系基础上利用非竞争型投入产出表模型,构建了两区域产业能源活动碳排放联系模型,将直接排放分解为消费、投资、出口三大最终需求的完全排放,并将进口避免的国内排放分解为进口消费、进口投资、加工贸易等部分,最终明晰了区域间贸易产生的隐含碳排放转移问题,并以中国为例进行计算说明。结论认为:中国出口加工导向型的经济结构和基础原材料工业比例偏高的产业结构特点,是中国碳排放迅速增加的主要因素。特别是在加入WTO以后,中国对外贸易导致的净出口碳占中国碳排放总量的四分之一强

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