马耀峰, 王冠孝, 张佑印. 中国典型区域入境旅游流空间场效应实证研究: 以四川省为例. 资源科学, 2008, 30(11): 1747-1753. [Ma Yaofeng, Wang Guanxiao, Zhang Youyin. Empirical research on spatial field effects of inbound tourist flows in China: Case study of Sichuan province. Resources Science, 2008, 30(11): 1747-1753.]
[2]
Matthew J W, Harold J G. Local economic impacts of dragon tourism in Indonesia. Annals of Tourism Research, 2000, 27(3): 559-576.
[3]
李创新, 马耀峰, 郑鹏, 等. 基于STSM的入境旅游流集散地域结构特征分析: 以中国入境旅游六大典型区域为例. 地理科学, 2011, 31(5): 620-626. [Li Chuangxin, Ma Yaofeng, Zheng Peng, et al. Characters of regional structure of Chinese inbound tourism flow's concentration and diffusion based on spatial transferring state matrix: A case study of six typical areas of Chinese inbound tourism. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2011, 31(5): 620-626.]
[4]
李创新, 马耀峰, 张颖, 等. 1993-2008年区域入境旅游流优势度时空动态演进模式: 基于改进熵值法的实证研究. 地理研究, 2012, 31(2): 257-268. [Li Chuangxin, Ma Yaofeng, Zhang Ying, et al. Dynamic evolution mode of regional dominance indexes of Chinese inbound tourism flows during 1993 to 2008: An empirical research based on modified entropy technology. Geographical Research, 2012, 31(2): 257-268.]
[5]
吴晋峰, 潘旭莉. 京沪入境旅游流网络结构特征分析. 地理科学, 2010, 30(3): 370-376. [Wu Jinfeng, Pan Xuli. Characteristic of Beijing and Shanghai inbound tourists flow network. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2010, 30(3): 370-376.]
[6]
王兆峰. 入境旅游流与航空运输网络协同演化及差异分析: 以西南地区为例. 地理研究, 2012, 31(7): 1328-1338. [Wang Zhaofeng. Co-evolution and disparities between inbound tourism flow and air transport network in southwest China. Geographical Research, 2012, 31(7): 1328-1338.]
[7]
刘法建, 张捷, 陈冬冬. 中国入境旅游流网络结构特征及动因研究. 地理学报, 2010, 65(8): 1013-1024. [Liu Fajian, Zhang Jie, Chen Dongdong. The characteristics and dynamical factors of Chinese inbound tourists flow network. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2010, 65(8): 1013-1024.]
[8]
朱晓华, 杨秀春, 蔡运龙. 基于灰色系统理论的旅游客源预测模型: 以中国入境旅游客源为例. 经济地理, 2005, 25(2): 232-235. [Zhu Xiaohua, Yang Xiuchun, Cai Yunlong. Forecasting models of tourism passenger based on the grey theory: A case study of the international tourism passenger source of China. Economic Geography, 2005, 25(2): 232-235.]
[9]
高军, 马耀峰, 张佑印. 基于ITGTM的中国入境旅游人数增长趋势研究. 干旱区资源与环境, 2008, 22(5): 95-100. [Gao Jun, Ma Yaofeng, Zhang Youyin. Tourist growth trend of China on the basis of inbound tourism growth trend theoretical model (ITGTM). Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2008, 22(5): 95-100.]
[10]
张郴, 张捷. 中国入境旅游需求预测的神经网络集成模型研究. 地理科学, 2011, 31(10): 1208-1212. [Zhang Chen, Zhang Jie. Neural network ensemble for Chinese inbound tourism demand predication. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2011, 31(10): 1208-1212.]
[11]
吴良平, 张健, 陆媛. 基于IOWHA算子的组合预测在中国入境旅游中的应用分析. 旅游学刊, 2011, 26(11): 19-27. [Wu Liangping, Zhang Jian, Lu Yuan. An analysis of the application of combined forecast in China's inbound tourism based on IOWHA operator. Tourism Tribune, 2011, 26(11): 19-27.]
[12]
陈秀琼, 黄福才. 中国入境旅游的区域差异特征分析. 地理学报, 2006, 61(12): 1271-1280. [Chen Xiuqiong, Huang Fucai. Temporal of regional disparity in Chinese inbound tourism. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2006, 61(12): 1271-1280.]
[13]
麻学锋, 孙根年. 长三角入境旅游的持续高增长及时间同步性分析. 经济地理, 2011, 31(5): 857-880. [Ma Xuefeng, Sun Gennian. Entry tourism of continuous growth and time synchronicities analysis of Yangtze River Delta. Economic Geography, 2011, 31(5): 857-880.]
[14]
万绪才, 王厚廷, 傅朝霞, 等. 中国城市入境旅游发展差异及其影响因素: 以重点旅游城市为例. 地理研究, 2013, 32(2): 337-346. [Wan Xucai, Wang Houting, Fu Chaoxia, et al. The intercity difference and influencing factors of inbound tourism development in China: Taking the major tourism cities as an example. Geographical Research, 2013, 32(2): 337-346.]
[15]
马燕. 近10年来新疆入境旅游市场时空动态变化研究. 西北师范大学学报: 自然科学版, 2012, 48(5): 109-114. [Ma Yan. A study on characteristics of the time and spatial variation of inbound tourism in Xinjiang in recent 10 years. Journal of Northwest Normal University: Natural Science, 2012, 48(5): 109-114.]
[16]
朱迎波, 葛全胜, 魏小安, 等. SARS对中国入境旅游人数影响的研究. 地理研究, 2003, 22(5): 551-559. [Zhu Yingbo, Ge Quansheng, Wei Xiaoan, et al. A study on the effect of the SARS epidemic on the international tourist arrivals in China. Geographical Research, 2003, 22(5): 551-559.]
[17]
保继刚, 项怡娴, 吴永莹. 北京奥运会对非举办地入境旅游的影响研究: 以桂林阳朔为例. 人文地理, 2009, 24(2): 1-6. [Bao Jigang, Xiang Yixian, Wu Yongying. The impacts of Beijing Olympics on inbound tourism to non-host cities in China: A case from Yangshuo. Human Geography, 2009, 24(2): 1-6.]
章秀琴, 章尚正. 中国入境旅游客源地结构变化影响因素的实证研究. 经济问题, 2012, (3): 121-124. [Zhang Xiuqin, Zhang Shangzheng. An empirical study on factors influencing China's inbound origin structure. On Economic Problems, 2012, (3): 121-124.]
[20]
孙根年, 周瑞娜, 马丽君, 等. 2008年五大事件对中国入境旅游的影响: 基于本底趋势线模型高分辨率的分解. 地理科学, 2011, 31(12): 1437-1446. [Sun Gennian, Zhou Ruina, Ma Lijun, et al. Impact of five events on China provincial inbound tourism in 2008: An analysis in high-resolution based on the TBL model. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2011, 31(12): 1437-1446.]
[21]
李凡, 吉生保, 章东明, 等. 中国入境旅游发展的影响因素研究: 基于面板分位数回归的省际经验证据. 山西财经大学学报, 2013, 35(1): 41-50. [Li Fan, Ji Shengbao, Zhang Dongming, et al. Research on determinants of China's inbound tourism development: Empirical evidences based on the quantile regression of inter-provincial panel data. Journal of Shanxi Finance and Economics University, 2013, 35(1): 41-50.]
[22]
王恩旭, 武春友. 基于灰色关联分析的入境旅游服务质量满意度研究. 旅游学刊, 2008, 23(11): 30-34. [Wang Enxu, Wu Chunyou. A study on the satisfaction of inbound tourism service quality based on grey correlation analysis. Tourism Tribune, 2008, 23(11): 30-34.]
[23]
雷可为, 陈瑛. 基于BP神经网络和ARIMA组合模型的中国入境游客量预测. 旅游学刊, 2007, 22(4): 20-25. [Lei Kewei, Chen Ying. Forecast of inbound tourists to China based on BP neural network and ARIMA combined model. Tourism Tribune, 2007, 22(4): 20-25.]
[24]
陈玲玲, 杨慧. 我国入境旅游客源与旅游外汇收入的多尺度对比研究:EMD方法的新应用. 地域研究与开发, 2011, 30(6): 94-97. [Chen Lingling, Yang Hui. Multi-scale comparative study on international tourist arrivals and tourism foreign exchange earnings: New application of EMD method. Areal Research and Development, 2011, 30(6): 94-97.]
[25]
孙玉环. 中国入境旅游外汇收入季节调整实证分析. 旅游学刊, 2006, 21(7): 29-33. [Sun Yuhuan. An empirical study on seasonal adjustment of the foreign exchange revenue from China's inbound travel. Tourism Tribune, 2006, 21(7): 29-33.]
[26]
李春兰, 张丽娜, 乔均俭. 中国入境旅游人数和外汇收入的CAR预测模型. 数理统计与管理, 2010, 29(6): 970-974. [Li Chunlan, Zhang Lina, Qiao Junjian. The CAR forecasting model of the number of overseas visitor arrivals and the foreign exchange from international tourism. Journal of Applied Statistics and Management, 2010, 29(6): 970-974.]
[27]
吴耀宇, 黄震方. 江苏省入境旅游客流波动性问题研究. 经济经纬, 2010, (2): 117-121. [Wu Yaoyu, Huang Zhenfang. A research into the fluctuation of inbound tourists flow in Jiangsu provinces. Economic Survey, 2010, (2): 117-121.]
[28]
赵多平, 孙根年, 马丽君, 等. 欧美入境中国旅游客流量成长及多周期分析. 世界地理研究, 2012, 21(4): 107-114. [Zhao Duoping, Sun Gennian, Ma Lijun, et al. Tourism growth and its cycle analysis based on the theory of natural trend curve: A case study of China's inbound tourism from EU and the US. World Regional Studies, 2012, 21(4): 107-114.]
骆培聪. 中国大陆入境台胞游客时空分布格局及其变化. 地理研究, 2010, 29(2): 291-302. [Luo Peicong. Research on temporal and spatial distribution pattern of Taiwan tourists and its evolution in mainland China. Geographical Research, 2010, 29(2): 291-302.]
[31]
高铁梅. 计量经济分析方法与建模: Eviews应用及实例. 北京: 清华大学出版社, 2006. [Gao Tiemei. Econometric Analysis and Modeling: Application and Examples of EViews. Beijing: Tsinghua University Press, 2006.]
[32]
Hodrick R, Prescott E C. Post-war US business cycle: An empirical investigation, Mimeo. Pittsbursh: Carnegie-Mellon University, 1980.
[33]
袁林旺, 俞肇元, 黄震方, 等. 游客变化的多尺度波动特征及作用过程分析: 以盐城麋鹿生态旅游区为例. 旅游学刊, 2009, 24(7): 27-33. [Yuan Linwang, Yu Zhaoyuan, Huang Zhenfang, et al. An analysis of multi-fluctuation characteristics and functional process of tourist flow: A case study of Yancheng David's Deer ecotourism area. Tourism Tribune, 2009, 24(7): 27-33.]
[34]
连平, 吴金友. 中国经济周期波动研究: 1978-2009年. 世界经济研究, 2011, (9): 3-9. [Lian Ping, Wu Jinyou. A study on China's business cycle: 1978-2009. World Economy Study, 2011, (9): 3-9.]
[35]
赵磊, 全华. 中国国内旅游消费与经济增长关系的实证分析. 经济问题, 2011, (4): 32-38. [Zhao Lei, Quan Hua. An empirical study on relation between domestic tourism consumption and economic growth in China. On Economic Problems, 2011, (4): 32-38.]
