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考虑CO2排放的公路桥梁结构时变可靠度

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Keywords: 桥梁工程,钢筋混凝土结构,蒙特卡罗法,碳化,时变可靠度,CO2排放

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Abstract:

基于改进的混凝土碳化深度预测模型,结合世界气象组织(IPCC)对CO2浓度和气候变暖的预测数据,综合考虑钢筋截面面积、屈服强度和粘结强度的降低,建立不同CO2排放策略下未来90a公路桥梁抗弯强度退化时变模型,详细研究了CO2浓度和气候变暖对钢筋混凝土桥梁结构抗弯承载能力可靠度的影响.针对广州地区一座钢筋混凝土桥梁展开分析,计算结果表明A1F1和A1B排放策略下混凝土桥梁的承载能力均值下降速度快于CO2浓度不变的情形;服役至2100年,A1F1和A1B排放策略下桥梁体系可靠度指标分别比CO2浓度不变情形低0.5和0.42,首次加固维修时间分别比CO2浓度不变情形早13a和10a.

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