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自然灾害脆弱性曲线研究进展

DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2012.04.0435, PP. 435-442

Keywords: 自然灾害,致灾强度,灾情,脆弱性曲线,风险评估

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Abstract:

在全球变化与全球化背景下自然灾害风险逐年增大,灾害评估就成为风险防范的重要基础。灾害评估包括灾情估算与风险评估2个方面,而脆弱性分析是把灾害与风险研究紧密联系起来的重要桥梁。脆弱性曲线作为定量精确评估承灾体脆弱性的方法,近年来在多领域被广泛运用,成为灾情估算、风险定量分析以及风险地图编制的关键环节。从致灾因子角度综述脆弱性曲线的研究进展,重点阐述基于灾情数据、已有曲线、调查和模型的脆弱性曲线构建。研究表明脆弱性曲线构建由单曲线向多曲线库、单一参数向综合参数、单一方法向多领域综合应用发展,具有综合化和精细化的趋势。进一步开展多领域、多方法综合脆弱性曲线研究,对灾损快速评估及风险评价,防灾减灾具有重要意义。赵生才.活动构造、环境与自然灾害———香山科学会议第167次学术讨论会观点[J].地球科学进展,2002,17(4)620-623.

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