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地理科学  2007 

环境污染与经济增长之间关联性的理论分析和计量检验

, PP. 156-162

Keywords: 环境污染,经济增长,环境库兹涅茨曲线,协整检验,Granger影响关系检验

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Abstract:

基于环境-经济的简单理论模型利用跨期消费选择问题最优化求解和稳态方法分析了环境污染与经济增长之间的长期关系和短期关系。这将为环境污染与经济增长之间长期和短期关系的经验研究提供理论依据和技术支持。基于EKC假设,我们对中国1960~2000年人均CO2排放量与人均GDP之间的长期关系和短期关系进行实证研究,结果表明人均CO2排放量与人均GDP之间存在长期协整关系,呈现倒U型的环境库兹涅茨曲线关系,而在短期上,人均GDP单向正向Granger影响人均CO2排放量,反过来未发现人均CO2排放量对人均GDP有明显的影响关系。

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