|
OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用：99美元
|
|
|
|
地区间贸易流量的产业—空间模型构建与应用
DOI: 10.11821/xb201202001, PP. 147-156
Keywords: 产业—空间模型,地理加权回归,产业联系,空间计量
Abstract:
通过深入剖析区域间经济联系的经济地理学理论基础,考虑到同业影响因子,重新构建引力模型,并引入空间滞后因子,利用地理加权回归方法建立了估算区域间贸易流量的产业—空间统计模型,并在中国30个省区投入产出表的基础上,以省区间农业、化工、通信电子3个产业贸易流量的估算为例对上述方法进行了说明。结果表明①空间统计模型的应用可以显著提高区域间贸易流量的估算可靠性；②随着空间权函数中带宽的缩小,贸易流量显得更加集中。因此,带宽在一定程度上反映了地理活动的空间集聚程度,不同行业应选取不同带宽；③不同行业有不同的同业影响机制和贸易特征,农业输出地以中部地区为主,目的地以沿海地区为主,具有一定的同业竞争关系,而化工、通信行业的产业流动主要发生在东部地区内部,具有很强的同业合作关系。
| [1] | NationalResearchCouncil.RecoveringGeography.USA:NationalAcademyofSciences,1997.Beijing:AcademyPress.[美国科学院国家研究理事会.重新发现地理学.美国科学院出版社,1997.北京:学苑出版社,2002.]
|
| [2] | ChisholmM,O'SullivanP.FreightFlowsandSpatialAspectsoftheBritishEconomy.NewYorkandLondon:CambridgeUniversityPress,1973.
|
| [3] | BlackWR.Theutilityofthegravitymodelandestimatesofitsparametersincommodityflowstudies.ProceedingsoftheAssociationofAmericanGeographers,1971,3:28-32.
|
| [4] | TinbergenJ.ShapingtheWorldEconomy:SuggestionsforanInternationalEconomicPolicy.NewYork:TheTwentiethCenturyFund,1962.
|
| [5] | FrankelJA,WeiSJ.Regionalizationofworldtradeandcurrencies:Economicsandpolitics//FrankelJA.TheRegionalizationoftheWorldEconomy.Chicago:TheUniversityofChicagoPress,1998:189-219.
|
| [6] | McCallumJ.Nationalbordersmatter:Canada-USregionaltradepatterns.AmericanEconomicReview1995,85:615-623.
|
| [7] | BrownWM,AndersonWP.SpatialmarketsandthepotentialforeconomicintegrationbetweenCanadianandUSregions.PapersinRegionalScience,2002,81:99-120.
|
| [8] | MiaoChanghong,WangHaijiang.OnthedirectionandintensityofurbaneconomiccontactsinHenanProvince.GeographicalResearch,2006,25(2):222-233.[苗长虹,王海江.河南省城市的经济联系方向与强度:兼论中原城市群的形成与对外联系.地理研究,2006,25(2):222-233.]
|
| [9] | AnselinL.NewDirectionsinSpatialEconometrics.Berlin:Springer-Verlag,1999.
|
| [10] | WangJinfeng,LiLianfa,GeYongetal.Atheoreticframeworkforspatialanalysis.ActaGeographicaSinica,2000,55(1):92-103.[王劲峰,李连发,葛咏等.地理信息空间分析的理论体系探讨.地理学报,2000,55(1):92-103.]
|
| [11] | FischerMM,GetisA.HandbookofAppliedSpatialAnalysis:SoftwareTools,MethodsandApplications.Berlin:Springer-Verlag,2010:410.
|
| [12] | ReedWE.ArealinteractioninIndia:CommodityflowsintheBengal-Biharindustrialarea.ResearchPapersSeries,No.110.DepartmentofGeography.Chicago:TheUniversityofChicago,1967.
|
| [13] | BlackWR.Interregionalcommodityflows:Someexperimentswiththegravitymodel.JournalofRegionalScience1972,12:107-118.
|
| [14] | PoyhonenP.Atentativemodelfortheflowsoftradebetweencountries.WeltwirtschatftlichesArchiv,1963,90(1):93-100
|
| [15] | MengDeyou,LuYuqi.StrengthanddirectionofregionaleconomiclinkageinJiangsuProvincebasedongravitymodel.ProgressinGeography,2009,28(5):697-703.[孟德友,陆玉麒.基于引力模型的江苏区域经济联系强度与方向.地理科学进展,2009,28(5):697-703.]
|
| [16] | GuChaolin,PangHaifeng.StudyonspatialrelationsofChineseurbansystem:Gravitymodelapproach.GeographicalResearch,2008,27(1):1-12.[顾朝林,庞海峰.基于重力模型的中国城市体系空间联系与层域划分.地理研究,2008,27(1):1-12.]
|
| [17] | LeontiefW,StroutA.MultiregionalInput-outputAnalysis//BarnaT.StructuralInterdependenceandEconomicDevelopment.London:St.Martin'sPress,1963.
|
| [18] | ZhangYaxiong,ZhaoKun.InterregionalInput-outputAnalysis.Beijing:SocialSciencesAcademicPress(China),2006.[张亚雄,赵坤.区域间投入产出分析.北京:社会科学文献出版社,2006.]
|
| [19] | LiuWeidong,ZhangGuoqin,SongZhouying.TrendofspatialconfigurationevolvementofeconomicdevelopmentinChinaunderglobalization.ScientiaGeographicaSinica,2007,27(5):609-617.[刘卫东,张国钦,宋周莺.经济全球化背景下中国经济发展空间格局的演变趋势研究.地理科学.2007,27(5):609-617.]
|
| [20] | KrugmanPR,MauriceObstfeld.InternationalEconomics:TheoryandPolicy.NewYork:Addison-Wesley,1997.
|
| [21] | YangKaizhong,FengDengtian,ShenTiyan.Thenewprogressofspatialstatisticeconometrics.ResearchonDevelopment,2009,(2):7-13.[杨开忠,冯等田,沈体雁.空间计量经济学研究的最新进展.开发研究.2009,(2):7-13.]
|
| [22] | BrunsdonC,FotheringhamAS,CharltonM.Geographicallyweightedregression:Amethodforexploringspatialnonstationarity.GeographicalAnalysis,1996,28(4):281-298.
|
| [23] | BrunsdonC,FotheringhamAS,CharltonM.Geographicallyweightedregression:Modelingspatialnonstationary.TheStatistician,1998,47(3):431-443.
|
| [24] | FotheringhamAS,BrunsdonC,CharltonM.Geographicallyweightedregression:Anaturalevolutionoftheexpansionmethodforspatialdataanalysis.EnvironmentandPlanningA,1998,30(11):1905-1927.
|
| [25] | YangZhenshan,CaiJianming.Progressofspatialstatisticsanditsapplicationineconomicgeography.ProgressinGeography,2010,29(6):757-768.[杨振山,蔡建明.空间统计学进展及其在经济地理研究中的应用.地理科学进展,2010,29(6):757-768.]
|
| [26] | LeSageJP,PaceRK.Spatialeconometricmodelingoforigin-destinationflows.JournalofRegionalScience,2008,48(5):941-967.
|
| [27] | LeSageJP,PaceRK.IntroductiontoSpatialEconometrics.LondonandNewYork:CRCPress(TaylorandFrancisGroup),2010.
|
| [28] | StoneR.Input-OutputandNationalAccounts.Paris:TheOrganizationforEuropeanEconomicDevelopment,1961.
|
Full-Text
|
|
Contact Us
service@oalib.com QQ:3279437679 
WhatsApp +8615387084133
|
|
