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资源科学 2011
System Dynamics Simulation of Small Towns’ Economy under the Constraints of Water Resources’ Carrying Capacity
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Abstract:
With rapid urbanization and serious water scarcity in China, carrying capacity of water resources has become an important factor affecting economic development of small towns. As the main model to simulate complex giant systems, system dynamics seems to be suitable for long-term, dynamic and macro-quantitative analysis and simulation study. According to the theory of system dynamics, exploring and applying the optimal pattern of economic growth under the constraints of water resources is the key for sustain...