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A Study of the Forecasting Skill of Quantitative Precipitation Forecast in a Hail Event in Sichuan Province on 8 April 2005
“05.4.8”四川冰雹个例定量降水的预报技巧研究

Keywords: ensemble prediction,quantitative precipitation,forecasting skill,horizontal scale,topography
集合预报,定量降水,预报技巧,水平尺度,地形

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Abstract:

This study is concerned with the variation of the forecasting skill of the quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) with the horizontal scale and topography in a hail event in Sichuan Province on 8 April 2005. The preliminary results show that when the horizontal scale is less than 100 km, the forecasting skill increases fastly with the horizontal scale. When the horizontal scale is equal to and greater than 200 km, the forecasting skill increases very slowly. At different locations, the forecasting skill ...

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