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环境科学  2000 

System Analysis on Water Resources Supporting Alternatives for Chaidamu Basin
柴达木盆地水资源承载方案系统分析

Keywords: system dynamics,water resource supporting capacity,supporting population,Chaidamu Basin
系统动力学
,水资源承载力,人口,柴达木盆地

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Abstract:

System Dynamics(SD) was used for further studying the water resource supporting capacity of Chaidamu Basin.According to the character istics of the basin,the System Dynamics Imitating Model of Water Resource Supporting Capacity of Chaidamu Basin(SDIMWRSCCB) was built based on the main supporting projective of population.The water resource supporting capacity and supporting population of Chaidamu Basin in 2020 and 2050 were forecasted and analyzed by means of the model.Three alternatives,High,Middle and Low Alternatives,were put forward,and then a synthesis one under which environment and economy can be developed in harmony was made.So the decision maker can use it to make more scientific and dependable decision.

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