The Synthetic Decision Method for Climate Forecasts--The Synthetic Decision Method of Recurrent Positive Weights
一种气候预测综合决策的方法——递归正权综合决策法

The synthetic decision plan of manifold climate forecasts is presented. The risk function of decision making is the sum of error squares, and its model is the synthesis of positive weights. This plan not only discusses the advantages of some positive weight methods in theory, but also provides the recurrent skill and enhances the forecasting precision of the synthesis of positive weights. This method has been proved to have quite good synthetic decision abilities through the synthetic decision making in the forecasts of the precipitation in the 1997's flood season.