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Estimation of Verhulst Model Parameter Based on Linear Programming
估计Verhulst 模型中参数的线性规划方法及应用

Keywords: grey Verhulst's model,forecasting,linear programming,genetic algorithm
灰色Verhulst模型
,预测,线性规划方法,遗传算法

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Abstract:

Estimation of Verhulst's Model parameter usually adopts least square criterion,but testing model precision often use average relative error.Under the norm of the minimizing the average relative error criterion or minimizing the largest relative error criterion,this paper points out that the improved Verhulst model parameter problem can be transformed to linear programming,that is,the parameters of the improving Verhulst model can be calculated by a linear programming method.Practical application shows that this method is feasible and effective,and has high forecasting accuracy over traditional method.

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