Study of a Forecasting Method for Dynamic Economic Systems
动态经济系统中的一种预测方法研究

A forecasting method suitable for dynamic economic systems is studied in this paper. Considering the deficiencies of static causalitive forecasting models when they are used directly in dynamic forecasting, the paper presents a compensating model to give a dynamic compensation to these static models. Compensating model is used to find out the information about the dynamic development of economic systems from the data of systems themselves and their variables, and then derive the additive compensation value from the analysis of above information.