The Simulation on the Choice of Technological Strategy of Our Country''s Industry
我国工业技术发展战略选择的模拟分析

The focus of the study about Technological strategic choice in this paper is to find out the fine combination between Technology Introduction(Tech -_Intr) and R&D based on the quantitative analysis. Firstly, this paper build a econometric model through the relationship analysis between Tech_Intr,R&D and other economic activities. Then, we take Tech -_Intr investment and R&D input as instrument variable, take four main economic variables such as GDP as objective variable, and use the econometric model above to simulate and analyse the development tendency of objective variables from 2000 to 2010 under the different input rate of two instrument variables. Finally, we make a rational judgment about the choice of the technological strategy of our country's industry according to the simulating result above.