Research progress on phenological models
物候模型研究进展

With the global warming and the advance of phenophases, the research of phenology has been drawing more and more attention in recent years. It is possible to make the prediction of phenophases by establishing phenological models, and to provide the guidance for many practical activities consequently. This paper discussed the significance of the research on phenological models, and reviewed the effects of main environmental factors, e. g., temperature, water, light, and nutrients, on the phenology of plants and insects. The research content and progress of four types of phenological models including crop, tree, vegetation and insect were introduced, based on the present status of both domestic and foreign researches. Crop phenological models paid more attention to the physiological and ecological processes; tree phenological models mainly adopted statistic methods, and recently, phytohormone level was tried to adopt as the decisive factor for the phenology; vegetation phenological models took the application of remote sensing technology as a developing tendency; and insect phenological models did further determination of development threshold and modification of temperature factors, and the introduction of GIS enlarged the application range of insect phenology models. The shortages in the present researches on phenological models were pointed out.