%0 Journal Article
%T Escenarios clim¨¢ticos futuros para Paraguay
%A Bidegain
%A Mario
%A Coronel
%A G
%A R¨ªos
%A N
%A de los Santos
%A B
%J Meteorologica
%D 2012
%I Scientific Electronic Library Online
%X were estimated future climate scenarios of temperature, precipitation, especific humidity and solar radiation for the region centered on paraguay. four global climate model outputs (hadcm3, echam5, gfdl 2.0 and csiro-mk3 ) were used, for 2020, 2050 and 2080, with socioeconomic scenarios sres a2 and b2. there is a significant differences in the precipitation estimatives, the greatest reductions (-6%) would be located over paraguay river basin and the largest increases (+5%) in the eastern region. the future temperature change scenarios show a warming of 1¡ã c by 2020, 2.5 ¡ã c by 2050 and +4.5 ¡ãc by 2080. the greatest warming could be verified over the paraguay river basin and minors over the southeastern. the specific humidity could be increased over the entire region +0.2 gr/kg by 2050 and +0.3 gr/kg by 2080. the major increase could be occurring on rio paran¨¢ basin. an increase in solar radiation could be occurring over the bolivian altiplano and a decrease in the southwestern region. with the precis system v1.6 we developed future climate scenarios in high resolution for the period 2081-2090, increase in annual average temperature +2¡ã c would be expected over paraguay.
%K climate scenarios
%K paraguay
%K downscaling.
%U http://www.scielo.org.ar/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&pid=S1850-468X2012000200001&lng=en&nrm=iso&tlng=en