%0 Journal Article
%T 河北省对外贸易、现代物流和经济发展关系研究<br>Research on the Relationship between Foreign Trade, Modern Logistics, and Economic Development in Hebei Province
%A 张丛
%J E-Commerce Letters
%P 1557-1566
%@ 2168-5851
%D 2024
%I Hans Publishing
%R 10.12677/ecl.2024.1341307
%X 本文研究探讨了河北省对外贸易、现代物流与经济发展之间的关系&#65292;利用1993年至2022年的有关数据&#65292;通过协整检验、格兰杰因果检验和VAR模型等方法&#65292;揭示了进口总额、出口总额、货物周转量与地区生产总值之间的动态关系。结果表明&#65292;河北省的对外贸易、现代物流与经济增长之间存在长期且稳定的协整关系&#65292;对外贸易和现代物流对经济增长具有显著的促进作用&#65292;其中进口贸易对现代物流和经济增长的影响尤为显著。<br>The article explores the relationship between foreign trade, modern logistics, and economic development in Hebei Province. Using data from 1993 to 2022, the dynamic relationship between total imports, total exports, goods turnover, and regional GDP is revealed through cointegration tests, Granger causality tests, and VAR models. The results indicate that there is a long-term and stable cointegration relationship between foreign trade, modern logistics, and economic growth in Hebei Province. Foreign trade and modern logistics have a significant promoting effect on economic growth, with import trade having a particularly significant impact on modern logistics and economic growth.
%K 对外贸易&#65292
%K 现代物流&#65292
%K 经济增长&#65292
%K 格兰杰因果检验<br>Foreign Trade
%K Modern Logistics
%K Economic Growth
%K Granger Causality Test
%U http://www.hanspub.org/journal/PaperInformation.aspx?PaperID=99599