%0 Journal Article
%T 基于LWHM-LUCC模型的澜沧江流域径流模拟<br>Runoff Simulation in the Lancang River Basin Based on LWHM-LUCC Model
%A 余涛
%A 谢平
%A 桑燕芳
%A 吴子怡
%A 吴林倩
%A 王路
%J Journal of Water Resources Research
%P 250-260
%@ 2166-5982
%D 2021
%I Hans Publishing
%R 10.12677/JWRR.2021.103027
%X 近几十年来，受变化环境的影响，澜沧江流域的径流发生了显著的变化。为了更好地对澜沧江流域的径流变化进行模拟和预测，构建了二水源和三水源LWHM-LUCC模型，采用1986~2004年资料进行径流模拟，通过比较两个模型的年径流和月径流模拟结果，评价两者在澜沧江流域的适用性。结果表明：二水源和三水源LWHM-LUCC模型年径流的模拟效果基本相同，三水源LWHM-LUCC模型月径流的模拟效果优于二水源LWHM-LUCC模型；二水源和三水源LWHM-LUCC模型在汛期的径流模拟效果均优于非汛期，尤其是7月的径流模拟效果最好。<br />
The runoff in the Lancang River basin has undergone significant changes due to the changing environ-ment in recent decades. Two-water Sources and Three-water Sources Lumped Watershed Hydrological Model Considering Land Use and Land Cover Change (LWHM-LUCC) were constructed, and the data from 1986 to 2004 were used to calibrated and verify the models. The results show that: annual runoff simulation effect of the two-water sources and three-water sources LWHM-LUCC model is basically the same, and the monthly runoff simulated by the three-water sources LWHM-LUCC model is better than that of the two-water sources LWHM-LUCC model, which indicates that three-water sources LWHM-LUCC model has better applicability; the two-water sources and three-water sources LWHM-LUCC model have better runoff simulation effects in the flood season than in the non-flood season, especially the runoff simulation effect in July is the best.
%K LWHM-LUCC模型，澜沧江流域，径流模拟，水源划分<br>LWHM-LUCC Model
%K Lancang River Basin
%K Runoff Simulation
%K Water Source Division
%U http://www.hanspub.org/journal/PaperInformation.aspx?PaperID=43227