%0 Journal Article
%T Future Projections of Heating and Cooling Degree Days in a Changing Climate of Turkey
%A Mehmet Levent KURNAZ
%J -
%D 2018
%X It is one of the most practical methods to take advantage of the degree days to foresee the possible changes in the future energy demand depending on heating and cooling due to the effects of climate change. In this study, it is projected that how the heating and cooling degree days in Turkey will covary with climate change under the RCP8.5 scenario, which consists in intense greenhouse gas emissions as it is today. For this purpose, the heating and cooling degree days calculated using the high resolution temperature values obtained from the RegCM regional climate model were compared for the future periods of 2016-2035 and 2046-2065 with respect to the reference period of 1981-2000. Accordingly, it was found that the number of heating degree days will decrease in the whole country, whereas the number of cooling degree days will generally increase. This reduction in heating degree days and the rise in cooling degree days will be higher in the period of 2046-2065 rather than in the period of 2016-2035. According to the result of the study, the utmost decrease in the heating degree days will be seen in Sivas, Kayseri, Kahramanmara£¿, and Mersin for both future periods. For the period of 2016-2035, the highest increase in the cooling degree days will be occurred in £¿anl£¿urfa, Diyarbak£¿r, Adana, and Manisa respectively, whereas the maximum increase in the cooling degree days will be experienced in £¿anl£¿urfa, Diyarbak£¿r, Adana and Hatay for the period of 2046-2065. The most remarkable point here is that Hatay is ranking as the fourth in 2046-2065 period instead of Manisa, which has the fourth highest increase in cooling degree days during the period of 2016-2035. In addition, this study is the first research which investigates the prospective changes in heating and cooling degree days using the highest resolution climate model outputs for Turkey
%K Is£¿tma ve so£¿utma g¨¹n dereceleri
%K £¿klim de£¿i£¿ikli£¿i
%K T¨¹rkiye i£¿in iklim projeksiyonlar£¿
%K £¿klim modellemesi
%U http://dergipark.org.tr/marufbd/issue/38853/427467