%0 Journal Article
%T When Bad News Arrives: Project HOPE in a Post
%A Francis T. Cullen
%A Jillian J. Turanovic
%A Leah Butler
%A Travis C. Pratt
%J Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice
%@ 1552-5406
%D 2018
%R 10.1177/1043986217750424
%X On the basis of limited empirical evidence, advocates of Project HOPE (Hawaii¡¯s Opportunity Probation with Enforcement) have succeeded in spreading the model to a reported 31 states and 160 locations. A recent randomized control experiment across four sites has revealed negative results: no overall effect on recidivism. In this context, we examine how prominent advocates of Project HOPE have coped with the arrival of this ¡°bad news.¡± Despite null findings from a ¡°gold standard¡± evaluation study, advocates continue to express confidence in the HOPE model and to support its further implementation. The risk thus exists that Project HOPE is entering a post-factual world in which diminishing its appeal¡ªlet alone its falsification¡ªis not possible. It is the collective responsibility of corrections researchers to warn policy makers that the HOPE model is not a proven intervention and may not be effective in many agencies. It is also our responsibility to create a science of community supervision that can establish more definitively best practices in this area
%K deterrence
%K offender supervision
%K parole
%K probation
%K Project HOPE
%U https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/1043986217750424