%0 Journal Article %T Predicting the Effect of a Predictor When Controlling for Baseline %A Bo Melin %A Kimmo Sorjonen %A Michael Ingre %J Educational and Psychological Measurement %@ 1552-3888 %D 2019 %R 10.1177/0013164418822112 %X The present simulation study indicates that a method where the regression effect of a predictor (X) on an outcome at follow-up (Y1) is calculated while adjusting for the outcome at baseline (Y0) can give spurious findings, especially when there is a strong correlation between X and Y0 and when the test¨Cretest correlation between Y0 and Y1 is relatively weak. Researchers wishing to avoid spurious findings and Type 1 errors should be aware of this phenomenon and are recommended to verify found effects by an unadjusted effect of X on the Y1¨CY0 difference %K adjusting for baseline %K correlation %K follow-up %K regression effect %K Type 1 error %U https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0013164418822112