%0 Journal Article
%T The Development of the VP
%A Daniel E. Shea
%A James R. P. Ogloff
%A Troy E. McEwan
%J Criminal Justice and Behavior
%@ 1552-3594
%D 2019
%R 10.1177/0093854818806031
%X This study describes the rationale, development, and validation of the Victoria Police Screening Assessment for Family Violence Risk (VP-SAFvR). The actuarial instrument was developed on a sample of 24,446 Australian police reports from 2013-2014. Information from each report and criminal histories of those involved were collected with 12-month follow-up, and binary logistic regression used to develop an improper predictive model. The selected VP-SAFvR cut-off score correctly identified almost three quarters of cases with further reports, while half of those without were accurately excluded. It was effective for frontline police triage decision-making, with few screened-out cases reporting further family violence, while those screened-in required additional risk assessment. Predictive validity was adequate and consistent across family relationships and demographic groups, although it was less effective in predicting future family violence reports involving same-sex couples or child perpetrators. Further evaluation in a field trial is necessary to determine the validity of the VP-SAFvR in practice
%K risk assessment
%K family violence
%K intimate partner violence
%K actuarial risk assessment
%K policing
%U https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0093854818806031