%0 Journal Article
%T 基于欧式贴近度的模糊物元模型 在水资源脆弱性评价中的应用
%A 陈大春
%A 马冬梅
%J 南水北调与水利科技
%D 2015
%X 运用基于欧式贴近度的模糊物元理论, 从效益水平、水资源量、生态环境三方面构建了乌鲁木齐市水资源脆弱 性评价指标体系和等级标准, 并利用模糊物元评价模型定量评价了乌鲁木齐市长系列水资源脆弱性的动态变化情 况。通过与灰关联分析法、模糊综合评价结果的比较, 证明模糊物元模型适用于乌鲁木齐市水资源脆弱性评价。评 价结果显示, 从2005 年- 2011 年乌鲁木齐市水资源脆弱性等级有增长趋势, 到规划年2015 年和2020 年水资源脆 弱性等级将达到? 级状态, 未来乌鲁木齐市水资源脆弱性增强不容忽视。  The wat er resources vulnerability ev aluatio n index system and gr ade standard in Urumqi wer e develo ped using the fuzzy matter element theo ry based o n Euclid appr oach deg ree from three aspect s of benefit level, w ater r esources quant ity, and eco log ical enviro nment, and the dy namic var iatio n of long2series w ater resources v ulnerability in Urumqi w as evaluated quant ita2 tively using the fuzzy matter element evaluation model. T he evaluation results wer e compared with those obtained fr om the g rey co rr elation analysis and fuzzy compr ehensiv e ev aluatio n, the fuzzy matter element model w as pro ved to be suitable fo r the as2 sessment o f water resources v ulnerability in Ur umqi. T he ev aluation results show ed that the v ulnerability level o f water re2 sour ces in U rumqi increases fr om 2005 to 2011, and w ill reach g rade ? in 2015 and 2020. Therefor e, w ater reso ur ces in Urumqi become mo re vulnerable in future.  国家科技支撑计划/ 新疆绿州灌区林果高校节水综合技术研究与示范0 ( 2011BAD29B05) ; 新疆高校科研计划基金资助重点项目 ( XJEDU2011I22)
%K 模糊物元
%K 水资源
%K 脆弱性
%K 欧式贴近度
%K 熵权法
%K 乌鲁木齐市
%K 综合评价
%K fuzzy matter element
%K w ater resour ces
%K v ulnerability
%K Euclid appr oach degr ee
%K entro py method
%K Ur umqi
%K comprehensiv e ev aluatio n
%U http://www.nsbdqk.net/nsbdyslkj/article/abstract/20150538?st=article_issue